Bulleen Lionsvs
Northcote City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL 2 · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bulleen Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bulleen Lions 3-1 Northcote City
Original prediction
Bulleen Lions
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.6% | 39.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.6% | 24.1% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 36.8% | 36.5% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Bulleen Lions
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Bulleen Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20