Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bulle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Bulle are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Chênois are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Bulle hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bulle holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bulle
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
9.6%
Bulle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40