Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 202615:00Last updated 10:04
Bulle

Bulle

Home
W
13
Full time
Amical Saint-Prex

Amical Saint-Prex

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Amical Saint-Prex33%
Bulle33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Bulle
33%
Draw
33%
Amical Saint-Prex
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Bulle
94
Amical Saint-Prex
99
Defence
Bulle
27
Amical Saint-Prex
66
Momentum
Bulle
100
Amical Saint-Prex
100
Danger (xG)
Bulle
2.70
Amical Saint-Prex
3.60
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.42 xG for Bulle and 1.52 xG for Amical Saint-Prex — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.10), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Bulle's Attack Score (94) exceeds Amical Saint-Prex's Defensive Stability (66), and Amical Saint-Prex's attack (99) similarly tests Bulle's defence (27). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.94 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Bulle)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Amical Saint-Prex)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Bulle)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Amical Saint-Prex)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
BulleBulle
W
Amical Saint-PrexAmical Saint-Prex
WD

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Bulle33%
Draw33%
Amical Saint-Prex33%

Amical Saint-Prex leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Bulle vs Amical Saint-Prex: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Bulle take on Amical Saint-Prex in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Bulle

Bulle

W
@ Vevey Sports
16 May 2026
32
Amical Saint-Prex

Amical Saint-Prex

W
vs Servette II
10 Jun 2026
41
D
vs Stade Payerne
16 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bulle vs Amical Saint-Prex?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Bulle vs Amical Saint-Prex?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Bulle vs Amical Saint-Prex?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bulle vs Amical Saint-Prex?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more