Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iceland · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Iceland
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Iceland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BulgariaWLDLD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
IcelandDWWDL
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
BulgariaIceland
25.0Attack58.3
58.3Defence91.7
33.3Form66.7
40.6Power71.2
0.84xG1.35