Bulgaria U21vs
Scotland U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/6/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Scotland U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bulgaria U21 0-2 Scotland U21
Original prediction
Scotland U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.3% | 29.8% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.0% | 26.4% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.7% | 43.9% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Scotland U21
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Scotland U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00