Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Bulawayo Chiefs

Bulawayo Chiefs

Home
DD
10
Full time
Kariba

Kariba

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

Kariba35%
Bulawayo Chiefs35%
Draw30%
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Bulawayo Chiefs
35%
Draw
30%
Kariba
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Bulawayo Chiefs
9
Kariba
73
Defence
Bulawayo Chiefs
91
Kariba
6
Momentum
Bulawayo Chiefs
33
Kariba
0
Danger (xG)
Bulawayo Chiefs
0.00
Kariba
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Bulawayo Chiefs)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Kariba)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Bulawayo Chiefs)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Kariba)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Bulawayo ChiefsBulawayo Chiefs
DD
KaribaKariba
LDD

Probability breakdown

36% confidence
Bulawayo Chiefs35%
Draw30%
Kariba35%

Kariba leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Bulawayo Chiefs head into this in Premier Soccer League fixture in mixed form (DD), while Kariba arrive in mixed form (L). Bulawayo Chiefs have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Kariba over 1 games.

The model rates Bulawayo Chiefs's attack at 9/100 against a 6/100 Kariba defence, and Kariba's attack at 73/100 against a 91/100 Bulawayo Chiefs backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Bulawayo Chiefs have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per home match. Kariba have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Bulawayo Chiefs and Kariba in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Kariba to win with 36% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Bulawayo Chiefs 3507%, Draw 2963%, Kariba 3529%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Bulawayo Chiefs

Bulawayo Chiefs

D
vs Hardrock
16 May 2026
00
D
@ Triangle United
13 May 2026
00
Kariba

Kariba

L
@ CAPS United
7 Jun 2026
23
D
@ Scotland Mabvuku
16 May 2026
00
D
vs Platinum
13 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bulawayo Chiefs vs Kariba?

GoalVio's model predicts Kariba to win with 36% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Bulawayo Chiefs vs Kariba?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Bulawayo Chiefs vs Kariba?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bulawayo Chiefs vs Kariba?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more