Bukovynavs
Zorya Luhansk
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bukovyna · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bukovyna 1-1 Zorya Luhansk
Original prediction
Bukovyna
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 39.0% | 47.2% | 8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.2% | 26.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.8% | 26.4% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Bukovyna
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Bukovyna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00