Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polessya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bukovyna 0-1 Polessya, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bukovyna 2-2 Polessya
Original prediction
Polessya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.16 | 22.2% | 19.8% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.9% | 27.4% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 52.9% | 52.8% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Projected Score
Bukovyna 0–1 Polessya
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Polessya
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Polessya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BukovynaDWLDD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PolessyaWWWWW
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BukovynaPolessya
19.0Attack71.4
71.4Defence76.2
33.3Form85.7
42.5Power78.4
0.54xG1.30