GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Buenos Aires City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Buenos Aires City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alumni Los Hornos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Buenos Aires City hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.3% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Buenos Aires City holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Buenos Aires City

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

19.3%

Buenos Aires City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Buenos Aires CityWWLDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Alumni Los HornosWLWLL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Buenos Aires CityAlumni Los Hornos
41.0Attack38.5
71.8Defence56.4
53.8Form35.9
57.0Power44.6
1.19xG0.57
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