Buducnost Podgoricavs
Mornar
COMPLETEDMontenegro · First League · 10/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Buducnost Podgorica 0-0 Mornar, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Buducnost Podgorica 3-2 Mornar
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 37.1% | 36.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.0% | 31.1% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 34.9% | 32.5% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Projected Score
Buducnost Podgorica 0–0 Mornar
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.1%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Buducnost PodgoricaDWDWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MornarWWWDW
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Buducnost PodgoricaMornar
41.7Attack50.0
72.2Defence66.7
52.8Form55.6
56.4Power59.2
0.88xG0.77