GGOALVIO

Montenegro · First League · 8/13/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Buducnost Podgorica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Buducnost Podgorica are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Jezero are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Buducnost Podgorica hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the First League, while Buducnost Podgorica holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Buducnost Podgorica

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Buducnost Podgorica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Buducnost PodgoricaDWLLL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
JezeroWDLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Buducnost PodgoricaJezero
61.1Attack38.0
60.2Defence64.8
56.5Form47.2
59.2Power51.5
1.41xG0.81
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