GGOALVIO

Montenegro · First League · 8/9/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Buducnost Podgorica are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Dečić are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dečić hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the First League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Buducnost PodgoricaWLLLL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
DečićLWLDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Buducnost PodgoricaDečić
61.1Attack50.9
60.2Defence75.0
56.5Form64.8
59.2Power64.4
0.96xG1.13
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