Buducnost Podgoricavs
Arsenal Tivat
COMPLETEDMontenegro · First League · 10/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buducnost Podgorica · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Buducnost Podgorica 1-0 Arsenal Tivat, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Buducnost Podgorica 3-3 Arsenal Tivat
Original prediction
Buducnost Podgorica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 64.3% | 52.8% | -11.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.6% | 29.2% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 6.87 | 13.2% | 18.0% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.01 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.4 pts
Projected Score
Buducnost Podgorica 1–0 Arsenal Tivat
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Buducnost Podgorica
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Buducnost Podgorica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40