Budapest Honvedvs
Zalaegerszegi TE
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Budapest Honved · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Budapest Honved 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE
Original prediction
Budapest Honved
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 45.0% | 52.0% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.8% | 23.5% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 28.2% | 24.5% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Budapest Honved
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Budapest Honved has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80