Budapest Honvedvs
Ujpest
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 10/11/2026, 2:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ujpest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Budapest Honved 1-1 Ujpest
Original prediction
Ujpest
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.5% | 32.6% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.8% | 27.0% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.7% | 40.4% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Ujpest
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Ujpest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Budapest HonvedLWLWL
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
UjpestDWWDW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Budapest HonvedUjpest
52.4Attack70.8
33.3Defence45.8
28.6Form58.3
41.1Power59.7
1.68xG2.41