GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB II · 8/6/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Budapest Honved · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Budapest Honved are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kozarmisleny FC are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWLW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Budapest Honved hold a 38.9-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the NB II, while Budapest Honved holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Budapest Honved

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Budapest Honved has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Budapest HonvedWWLWL

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Kozarmisleny FCLWLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
Budapest HonvedKozarmisleny FC
38.2Attack16.7
64.7Defence0.0
43.1Form0.0
50.1Power11.2
1.43xG0.73
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