Budapest Honvedvs
Debreceni VSC
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 10/24/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Debreceni VSC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Budapest Honved 0-2 Debreceni VSC
Original prediction
Debreceni VSC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.8% | 35.7% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.9% | 27.8% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 36.3% | 36.5% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Debreceni VSC
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Debreceni VSC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80