Buckley Townvs
Ruthin Town
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 10/3/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buckley Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%), 4-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Buckley Town 1-1 Ruthin Town
Original prediction
Buckley Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.5% | 70.1% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.64 | 19.5% | 16.1% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 5.05 | 17.9% | 13.7% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.64 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.3–09%
- 3.4–18%
Predicted outcome
Buckley Town
Probability
70.1%
Model confidence
70.1%
Buckley Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40