Buckley Townvs
Penrhyncoch
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 9/5/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buckley Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Buckley Town 5-0 Penrhyncoch
Original prediction
Buckley Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.3% | 52.7% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.4% | 22.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 24.3% | 24.6% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Buckley Town
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Buckley Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20