Buckley Townvs
Guilsfield
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guilsfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Buckley Town 3-1 Guilsfield
Original prediction
Guilsfield
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.51 | 25.8% | 28.7% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.6% | 24.0% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.79 | 50.6% | 47.2% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Guilsfield
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Guilsfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20