Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paloma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-4 (7%), 2-4 (6%), 3-5 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Buchholz 2-4 Paloma
Original prediction
Paloma
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–47%
- 2.2–46%
- 3.3–56%
Predicted outcome
Paloma
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Paloma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BuchholzLLWDD
GF 12 · GA 19 · avg 2.40/3.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PalomaLWWWW
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
BuchholzPaloma
80.0Attack93.3
10.0Defence36.7
50.0Form73.3
47.0Power68.1
3.28xG4.50