Bucheon FC 1995vsGwangju FC

COMPLETED

South-Korea · K League 1 · 10/24/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bucheon FC 1995 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Bucheon FC 1995 1-0 Gwangju FC, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Final result

Bucheon FC 1995 0-3 Gwangju FC

Original prediction

Bucheon FC 1995

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	2.19	42.3%	45.9%	3.6 pts
Draw	3.35	27.7%	28.5%	0.8 pts
Away	3.09	30.0%	25.7%	-4.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.6 pts

Projected Score

Bucheon FC 1995 1–0 Gwangju FC

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

Bucheon FC 1995

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Bucheon FC 1995 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Bucheon FC 1995LLLDL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5

Gwangju FCLWDDL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5

Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC

33.3Attack25.0

54.2Defence33.3

33.3Form19.8

42.1Power29.0

1.48xG0.61