GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K League 1 · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Daejeon Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Bucheon FC 1995 0-0 Daejeon Citizen, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Prediction record

Final result

Bucheon FC 1995 0-5 Daejeon Citizen

Original prediction

Daejeon Citizen

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.8724.0%32.8%8.9 pts
Draw3.4327.1%29.2%2.2 pts
Away1.8949.0%37.9%-11.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-11.0 pts

Projected Score

Bucheon FC 1995 0–0 Daejeon Citizen

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

Daejeon Citizen

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Daejeon Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bucheon FC 1995DLWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Daejeon CitizenLWWWL

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Bucheon FC 1995Daejeon Citizen
35.9Attack44.9
62.8Defence59.0
39.7Form41.0
47.8Power48.9
0.94xG0.92
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