Buchbachvs
Wacker Burghausen
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 10/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buchbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Buchbach 3-3 Wacker Burghausen
Original prediction
Buchbach
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.9% | 46.0% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.0% | 26.1% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 33.1% | 28.0% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.65 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Buchbach
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Buchbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80