Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buchbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Buchbach are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Erlbach are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Buchbach hold a 40.8-point power-rating edge (64.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Buchbach holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Buchbach
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Buchbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20