Buchbachvs
Bayern München II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 9/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buchbach · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Buchbach 2-0 Bayern München II
Original prediction
Buchbach
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.5% | 55.3% | 18.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.2% | 22.2% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.3% | 22.5% | -16.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Buchbach
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Buchbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00