Buchbachvs
Augsburg II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 10/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buchbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 4-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Buchbach 1-4 Augsburg II
Original prediction
Buchbach
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.4% | 54.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 22.9% | 23.5% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 23.7% | 22.4% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.4–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Buchbach
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Buchbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20