Bucaspor 1928vs
Gaziemirspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Türkiye Kupası · 9/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gaziemirspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bucaspor 1928 0-4 Gaziemirspor
Original prediction
Gaziemirspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.48 | 20.2% | 33.8% | 13.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.5% | 27.0% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 57.3% | 39.2% | -18.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Gaziemirspor
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Gaziemirspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00