Bucaspor 1928vs
Gaziemirspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 3. Lig - Group 2 · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bucaspor 1928 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bucaspor 1928 1-2 Gaziemirspor
Original prediction
Bucaspor 1928
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 40.7% | 43.3% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.4% | 27.8% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 31.9% | 28.9% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Bucaspor 1928
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Bucaspor 1928 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80