Bucaspor 1928vs
Altay
COMPLETEDTurkey · 3. Lig - Group 2 · 9/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bucaspor 1928 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bucaspor 1928 1-2 Altay
Original prediction
Bucaspor 1928
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.0% | 41.3% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.3% | 28.3% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.64 | 24.7% | 30.4% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Bucaspor 1928
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Bucaspor 1928 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00