Bucaramangavs
Santa Fe
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 3/28/2026, 1:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bucaramanga are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Santa Fe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20