Bucaramangavs
Once Caldas
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 3/19/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bucaramanga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Once Caldas are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 56.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20