Bucaramangavs
Millonarios
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 1/18/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bucaramanga · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bucaramanga are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Millonarios are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Millonarios hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Primera A, while Bucaramanga holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bucaramanga
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
14.9%
Bucaramanga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60