GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 4/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bucaramanga · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Bucaramanga are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Jaguares are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bucaramanga hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 35.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the Primera A, while Bucaramanga holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bucaramanga

Probability

64.1%

Model confidence

64.1%

Bucaramanga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BucaramangaLWLLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
JaguaresLLWLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BucaramangaJaguares
46.4Attack30.4
65.2Defence42.0
44.9Form27.5
52.3Power35.9
1.81xG0.55
View match centre →