GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 2/11/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Bucaramanga are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportes Tolima are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BucaramangaDWDDW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportes TolimaLDDWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BucaramangaDeportes Tolima
46.4Attack48.1
65.2Defence66.7
44.9Form56.8
52.3Power58.8
0.97xG0.94
View match centre →