GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/18/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico-MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Bucaramanga are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 37.6-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico-MG

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Atletico-MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BucaramangaDWWDW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico-MGLWWDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BucaramangaAtletico-MG
33.3Attack42.9
33.3Defence71.4
0.0Form61.9
23.7Power61.2
0.82xG1.24
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