Bucaramangavs
Atletico-MG
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/18/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico-MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Bucaramanga are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 37.6-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico-MG
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Atletico-MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60