GGOALVIO

Croatia · First NL · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Bsk Bijelo Brdo 1-0 Jadran LP

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4736.5%35.4%-1.2 pts
Draw3.0829.2%29.9%0.7 pts
Away2.6334.2%34.7%0.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–013%
  3. 3.1–011%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

29.9%

Model confidence

35.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bsk Bijelo BrdoLDLDL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Jadran LPDWDWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bsk Bijelo BrdoJadran LP
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.09xG1.08
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