Bsk Bijelo Brdovs
Hrvace
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/19/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bsk Bijelo Brdo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bsk Bijelo Brdo 1-2 Hrvace
Original prediction
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.4% | 42.1% | -13.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.6% | 29.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 5.03 | 18.0% | 28.9% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Bsk Bijelo Brdo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20