BSK Banja Lukavs
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BSK Banja Luka 1-1 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Original prediction
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.5% | 36.0% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.3% | 25.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.2% | 38.2% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20