GGOALVIO

Bosnia · Premijer Liga · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

BSK Banja Luka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

BSK Banja Luka 4-4 Radnik Bijeljina

Original prediction

BSK Banja Luka

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3438.6%49.0%10.4 pts
Draw3.0429.8%25.3%-4.4 pts
Away2.8631.6%25.7%-6.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

10.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

BSK Banja Luka

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

BSK Banja Luka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BSK Banja LukaDWLLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Radnik BijeljinaLLDDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
BSK Banja LukaRadnik Bijeljina
38.1Attack38.1
52.4Defence28.6
33.3Form14.3
43.4Power29.8
1.73xG1.00
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