BSK Banja Lukavs
Čelik
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 9/5/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BSK Banja Luka 3-2 Čelik
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.5% | 34.9% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.6% | 29.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.9% | 35.3% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.8%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BSK Banja LukaLLLWL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ČelikDWLLL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BSK Banja LukaČelik
26.7Attack33.3
53.3Defence60.0
20.0Form26.7
35.3Power40.6
0.98xG1.01