GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 8/6/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Viktoria Berlin · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

BSG Chemie Leipzig are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Viktoria Berlin are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Viktoria Berlin hold a 33.8-point power-rating edge (26.3 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Regionalliga - Nordost, while Viktoria Berlin holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Viktoria Berlin

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Viktoria Berlin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BSG Chemie LeipzigLLDLW

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Viktoria BerlinWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
BSG Chemie LeipzigViktoria Berlin
8.3Attack52.9
50.0Defence61.8
8.3Form61.8
26.3Power60.0
0.91xG1.62
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