Regionalliga - NordostRegionalliga - Nordost
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 15:02
BSG Chemie Leipzig

BSG Chemie Leipzig

Home
W
02
Full time
SV Babelsberg 03

SV Babelsberg 03

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
49% confidence
BSG Chemie Leipzig(26%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
BSG Chemie Leipzig
26%
Draw
25%
SV Babelsberg 03
49%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
BSG Chemie Leipzig
94
SV Babelsberg 03
94
Defence
BSG Chemie Leipzig
66
SV Babelsberg 03
66
Momentum
BSG Chemie Leipzig
100
SV Babelsberg 03
100
Danger (xG)
BSG Chemie Leipzig
2.70
SV Babelsberg 03
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (BSG Chemie Leipzig)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (SV Babelsberg 03)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (BSG Chemie Leipzig)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (SV Babelsberg 03)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
BSG Chemie LeipzigBSG Chemie Leipzig
WL
SV Babelsberg 03SV Babelsberg 03
W

Probability breakdown

49% confidence
BSG Chemie Leipzig26%
Draw25%
SV Babelsberg 0349%

SV Babelsberg 03 leads with 49% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

BSG Chemie Leipzig head into this in Regionalliga - Nordost fixture in mixed form (W), while SV Babelsberg 03 arrive in mixed form (W). BSG Chemie Leipzig have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for SV Babelsberg 03 over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — BSG Chemie Leipzig (66/100) and SV Babelsberg 03 (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

BSG Chemie Leipzig have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. SV Babelsberg 03 have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between BSG Chemie Leipzig and SV Babelsberg 03 in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects BSG Chemie Leipzig to win with 49% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: BSG Chemie Leipzig 2605%, Draw 2524%, SV Babelsberg 03 4871%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

BSG Chemie Leipzig

BSG Chemie Leipzig

W
vs Eichstätt
1 Jul 2026
31
L
@ FSV Zwickau
16 May 2026
01
SV Babelsberg 03

SV Babelsberg 03

W
vs Hertha BSC II
16 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs SV Babelsberg 03?

GoalVio's model predicts BSG Chemie Leipzig to win with 49% confidence.

What is the predicted score for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs SV Babelsberg 03?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in BSG Chemie Leipzig vs SV Babelsberg 03?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in BSG Chemie Leipzig vs SV Babelsberg 03?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more