BSG Chemie Leipzigvs
Luckenwalde
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BSG Chemie Leipzig · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-3 Luckenwalde
Original prediction
BSG Chemie Leipzig
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.2% | 58.4% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.25 | 21.2% | 21.7% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 29.6% | 19.9% | -9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
BSG Chemie Leipzig
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
58.4%
BSG Chemie Leipzig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20