BSG Chemie Leipzigvs
Hertha BSC II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BSG Chemie Leipzig · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BSG Chemie Leipzig 2-0 Hertha BSC II
Original prediction
BSG Chemie Leipzig
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.5% | 53.6% | 10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.4% | 24.4% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.1% | 22.0% | -9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
BSG Chemie Leipzig
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
BSG Chemie Leipzig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00