BSG Chemie Leipzigvs
FSV Zwickau
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 9/12/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FSV Zwickau · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BSG Chemie Leipzig 2-2 FSV Zwickau
Original prediction
FSV Zwickau
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 33.1% | 31.0% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.5% | 28.4% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 39.5% | 40.6% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
FSV Zwickau
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
FSV Zwickau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00