BSG Chemie Leipzigvs
Chemnitzer FC
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chemnitzer FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: BSG Chemie Leipzig 0-2 Chemnitzer FC, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-3 Chemnitzer FC
Original prediction
Chemnitzer FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.51 | 25.8% | 15.0% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.9% | 21.1% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 48.3% | 63.9% | 15.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.6 pts
Projected Score
BSG Chemie Leipzig 0–2 Chemnitzer FC
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Chemnitzer FC
Probability
63.9%
Model confidence
63.9%
Chemnitzer FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60