Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 202617:15Last updated 12:40
BSC Young Boys

BSC Young Boys

Home
W
00
Full time
Étoile Carouge

Étoile Carouge

Away
DL
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

BSC Young Boys40%
Draw35%
Étoile Carouge25%
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
BSC Young Boys
40%
Draw
35%
Étoile Carouge
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
BSC Young Boys
73
Étoile Carouge
34
Defence
BSC Young Boys
91
Étoile Carouge
14
Momentum
BSC Young Boys
100
Étoile Carouge
17
Danger (xG)
BSC Young Boys
1.80
Étoile Carouge
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (BSC Young Boys)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Étoile Carouge)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (BSC Young Boys)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Étoile Carouge)
2.25
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys
WW
Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge
DL

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
BSC Young Boys40%
Draw35%
Étoile Carouge25%

BSC Young Boys leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

BSC Young Boys head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Étoile Carouge arrive in mixed form (DL). BSC Young Boys have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Étoile Carouge over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. BSC Young Boys's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Étoile Carouge defence (14/100), while Étoile Carouge's attack is up against a watertight BSC Young Boys backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in BSC Young Boys's favour.

BSC Young Boys have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Étoile Carouge have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between BSC Young Boys and Étoile Carouge in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects BSC Young Boys to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: BSC Young Boys 4017%, Draw 3500%, Étoile Carouge 2483%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

BSC Young Boys

BSC Young Boys

W
@ Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
5 Jul 2026
20
W
@ FC Thun
14 May 2026
32
Étoile Carouge

Étoile Carouge

D
vs Bellinzona
15 May 2026
22
L
@ Neuchatel Xamax FC
11 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win BSC Young Boys vs Étoile Carouge?

GoalVio's model predicts BSC Young Boys to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for BSC Young Boys vs Étoile Carouge?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in BSC Young Boys vs Étoile Carouge?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in BSC Young Boys vs Étoile Carouge?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more