GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 2/15/2024, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting CP · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

BSC Young Boys are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sporting CP are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 5.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting CP hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Sporting CP holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting CP

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Sporting CP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BSC Young BoysDWWLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting CPWWWWW

GF 26 · GA 3 · avg 5.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
BSC Young BoysSporting CP
33.3Attack53.3
33.3Defence63.3
16.7Form53.3
31.3Power58.1
0.99xG1.66
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