BSC Young Boysvs
Servette FC
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Super League · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BSC Young Boys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BSC Young Boys 3-2 Servette FC
Original prediction
BSC Young Boys
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 58.4% | 57.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.32 | 21.5% | 20.2% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.63 | 20.1% | 22.1% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
BSC Young Boys
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
BSC Young Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 12 · avg 3.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20